Dear Mikhail,

Thanks for the information and sharing it!
Do you have a guess on the time the activity could theoritically increase? Would it be like an outburst, or more, like in 2013, a general increase of the eta-Aquarids activity level?
And do you know if M. Sato made some equivalent modelization, just like he did for the 2013 eta-Aquarids activity enhancement (ZHR ~ 120 instead of 60-80)?
Thanks in advance!

Clear skies,
Karl

Dear Mikhail, Thanks for the information and sharing it! Do you have a guess on the time the activity could theoritically increase? Would it be like an outburst, or more, like in 2013, a general increase of the eta-Aquarids activity level? And do you know if M. Sato made some equivalent modelization, just like he did for the 2013 eta-Aquarids activity enhancement (ZHR ~ 120 instead of 60-80)? Thanks in advance! Clear skies, Karl

Dear Karl,

Consideng that trails are very old, I suggest this should be an a very long lasting enhancement, for many hours, maybe for a day, centering at 14-18 UT on May 4.

Unfortunalely, I do not know, if M. Sato has any results on eta-Aquarids 2017, thouth it would be interesting to compare, what his model show for this year.

Dear Karl, Consideng that trails are very old, I suggest this should be an a very long lasting enhancement, for many hours, maybe for a day, centering at 14-18 UT on May 4. Unfortunalely, I do not know, if M. Sato has any results on eta-Aquarids 2017, thouth it would be interesting to compare, what his model show for this year.
edited Jan 8 at 2:44 pm

Dear Mikhail,

Thanks for your answer!
Let's wait for the eta-Aquariids, then!
I will try to contact M. Sato and see if he conducted any work on 2017 eta-Aquarrids, and what are his results.

And for sure, Ben, 2013 eta-Aquariids were a pretty nice show, even from Northern hemisphere observing sites, where the radiant position is absolutely not favorable (very low all night, and only raising at the end of the night).

Best wishes,
Karl

Dear Mikhail, Thanks for your answer! Let's wait for the eta-Aquariids, then! I will try to contact M. Sato and see if he conducted any work on 2017 eta-Aquarrids, and what are his results. And for sure, Ben, 2013 eta-Aquariids were a pretty nice show, even from Northern hemisphere observing sites, where the radiant position is absolutely not favorable (very low all night, and only raising at the end of the night). Best wishes, Karl

The 2013 event was amazing! I saw it from 50° northern lat. with many earth-grazing meteors in the morning of May 6.
We"ll see for this year (if weather permits).
Thanks for the new predictions, Mr Maslov!

The 2013 event was amazing! I saw it from 50° northern lat. with many earth-grazing meteors in the morning of May 6. We"ll see for this year (if weather permits). Thanks for the new predictions, Mr Maslov!
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